BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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North Carolina St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 32 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (5-3) Overall: (9-3) Overall Strength = 166.01
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/01/2018 Home W 161.38 24 13 1B 5 ( 9- 4) James Madison -4.63 15.63
2 09/08/2018 Home W 169.00 41 7 1A 118 ( 2- 10) Georgia St 3.00 31.00
3 09/22/2018 Away W 169.34 37 20 1A 89 ( 8- 4) Marshall 3.33 13.67
4 09/29/2018 Home W * 170.47 35 21 1A 53 ( 7- 5) Virginia 4.46 9.54
5 10/06/2018 Home W * 165.01 28 23 1A 45 ( 7- 5) Boston College -1.00 6.00
6 10/20/2018 Away L * 156.47 7 41 1A 2 ( 13- 0) Clemson -9.54 -24.46
7 10/27/2018 Away L * 156.93 41 51 1A 31 ( 9- 3) Syracuse -9.08 -0.92
8 11/03/2018 Home W * 167.71 47 28 1A 85 ( 5- 7) Florida St 1.70 17.30
9 11/08/2018 Home L * 149.25 23 27 1A 68 ( 6- 6) Wake Forest -16.76 12.76
10 11/17/2018 Away W * 181.47 52 10 1A 122 ( 2- 10) Louisville 15.46 26.54
11 11/24/2018 Away W * 155.41 34 28 1A 92 ( 2- 9) North Carolina -10.60 16.60
12 12/01/2018 Home W 189.66 58 3 1A 120 ( 3- 9) East Carolina 23.65 31.35
13 12/31/2018 Neutral 1A 22 ( 8- 4) Texas A&M -4.32
Averages 166.01 35.6 22.7
Best game: 189.66 = 55 point win over East Carolina
Worst game: 149.25 = 4 point loss to Wake Forest
Team stdev: 11.40